That’s not a typo, and it’s not clickbait. This week, my book Back to the Futures crossed 5,000 copies sold across print, audio, and ebook…
There is a large literature on the accuracy and market impact of USDA crop forecasts for the United States—by one recent count, 77 studies on…
Jarrett Renshaw at Reuters has a nice piece this week on challenges in meeting the Trump administration’s aggressive RVOs for biomass-based diesel in 2026 and…
HR 1346 — the Nationwide Consumer and Fuel Retailer Choice Act — passed the House by a narrow margin this week and now goes to…
This week, I published my 400th farmdoc daily article. Four hundred. It still doesn’t quite feel real to type that number. To put that in…
After 15 years of work with some extraordinary collaborators, I’m thrilled to share that “The Biofuels Blueprint: Understanding the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard” has been…
When Doug Peterson and I wrote Back to the Futures, we aimed at a general audience — farmers, grain traders, market analysts, and curious readers.…
One of the best parts of writing my book Back to the Futures has been discovering the unexpected ways it has been used in and…
Research on forecasting across a multitude of economic time series demonstrates an interesting principle: simple, robust statistical models tend to dominate in terms of forecast…
“Then we heard the high-pitched whir of a snowmobile engine far in the distance. It was like a scene from a World War II movie,…