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Research Archive

Trilogy for Troubleshooting Convergence: Manipulation, Structural Imbalance, and Storage Rates (April 2018)
Paper presented at “Protecting America’s Agricultural Markets: An Agricultural Commodity Futures Conference,” jointly sponsored by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Center for Risk Management Education and Research at Kansas State University.

Bubbles, Froth, and Facts: The Masters Hypothesis and Recent Food Commodity Price Spikes (June 2014)
Keynote presentation at the IAMO Forum 2014, “The Rise of the ‘Emerging Economies”: Towards Functioning Agricultural Markets and Trade Relations

Futures Markets and Speculation: Lessons from the Past for Today (Oct 2012)
Chancellor’s Illinois Lecture

How Agricultural Economics Saved Futures Markets: An Untold Story of Leadership (Oct 2011)
William K. Deal Leadership Lecture, Iowa State University

Surveillance Midday (April 2011) 
Interview with Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television

Feud Over Food Futures (Jan 2011) 
Interview on CNBC

Feeding Frenzy (Jan 2011) 
Interview on the BBC Radio 4 Program: “Face The Facts”

Devil or Angel: The Role of Speculation in the Recent Commodity Price Boom (Nov 2008)
Farrell Distinguished Public Policy Lecture, Department of Food, Agricultural, and Resource Economics, University of Guelph, Ontario, Canada

300 Bushels in Every Field? The Rising Debate about Corn Trend Yields (Apr 2008)
34th James C. Snyder Lecture to the Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University

What I Wish I Knew 20 Years Ago about Writing and Submitting Journal Articles (Jul 2007)
Organized symposium presentation at the 2007 Annual Meeting of the American Agricultural Economics Association. The session was entitled, ” Guidelines on Writing and Submitting Journal Articles.”

Writing Competitive, Outstanding Proposals (Jul 2005)
Organized Symposium Presentation at the 2005 Annual Meeting of the American Agricultural Economics Association. The session was entitled, “Preparing Social Science Research Proposals: Competing with Small Fish in a Big Pond, or Small Fish in a Small Pond?”

Outreach Archive

The New, New Era in Grain Prices? (December 2018)
Presentation at the 2018 Illinois Farm Economics Summit Meetings.

What Is Up with Soybean Yields? (December 2017)
Presentation at the 2017 Illinois Farm Economics Summit Meetings.

The State of the U.S. Biofuels Industry and Where It’s Headed (October 3, 2017)
Keynote presentation to OPIS 2017 RFS2, RINs, and Biodiesel Forum.

Long-Term Weather Trends and Prospects for a Recovery in the Price of Corn (December 2016)
Presentation at the 2016 Illinois Farm Economics Summit Meetings.

The Outlook for Conventional Biofuels is Brighter Than You Think (December 2015)
Presentation at the 2015 Illinois Farm Economics Summit Meetings.

Can One Monster Crop End the New Era of Grain Prices? (December 2014)
Presentation at the 2014 Illinois Farm Economics Summit Meetings.

Grain Stocks Estimates: Can Anything Explain the Market Surprises of Recent Years (Feb 2014)
Grain and Oilseeds Outlook presentation at the USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum

The RFS and Crop Markets: Where to from Here? (December 2013)
Presentation at the 2013 Illinois Farm Economics Summit Meetings.

Structural Change in Agricultural Futures Markets: What Have We Wrought? (November 2013)
Presentation at the Conference on Taming Agricultural Risks sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

The RFS and Grain and Oilseed Markets: All Eyes on the EPA (November 2013)
Conference on Farmland Markets: Profitability and Future Perspectives sponsored by the TIAA-CREF Center for Farmland Research at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

Managing Risk in Today’s Markets (February 2013)
Plenary Panel Presentation at the USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum
(Irwin remarks start about the 38:00 minute mark) Slides that accompany the remarks found here.

The Impact of Biofuels Mandates on Grain and Oilseed Markets (December 2012)
Presentation at the 2012 Illinois Farm Economics Summit Meetings.

Farming is Fun! (February 2012)
Presentation to the Phoenix Agricultural Club.  Updated version of the “New Plateau” presentation.

The New Price Plateau (July 2011)
Presentation at the 2011 Purdue Top Farmer Crop Workshop.

When to Sell Corn and Soybeans in Illinois (December 2010)
Presentation at the 2010 Illinois Farm Economics Summit Meetings.

Speculation and Price Volatility: Implications for Farmer Marketing (December 2009)
Presentation at the 2009 Illinois Farm Economics Summit Meetings.

Crop Value and Volatility in a New Era (December 2008)
Presentation at the 2008 Illinois Farm Economics Summit Meetings.

Influence of Weather and Technology on Corn Yields (December 2007)
Presentation at the 2007 Illinois Farm Economics Summit Meetings.

farmdoc: This is Still Your Father’s Extension Program (March 2007)
Seminar presentation on the development, organization, evaluation, and lessons learned from the first eight years of the farmdoc project.

Biofuels: Implications for Prices and Production (December 2006)
Presentation at the 2006 Illinois Farm Income Meetings.

Should Technical Analysis be a Part of Your Crop Marketing Program (December 2005)
Presentation at the 2005 Illinois Farm Income Meetings.

The Use and Abuse of Web Traffic Statistics for Extension Program Evaluation (July 2005)
Organized symposium presentation at the 2005 Annual Meeting of the American Agricultural Economics Association. The session was entitled, “What Makes an Outstanding Extension Economics Web Site?”

Sizing Up Your Marketing Advisory Program (December 2004)
Presentation at the 2005 Illinois Farm Income Meetings.

Risk Assessment for New Generation Grain Contracts (December 2004)
Presentation to the Country Elevator Meeting of the National Feed and Grain Dealers Association.

A Systematic and Disciplined Approach to Crop Marketing (December 2004)
Presentation to the Country Elevator Meeting of the National Feed and Grain Dealers Association.

Grain Marketing: Getting Back to the Fundamentals (December 2003)
Presentation at the 2004 Illinois Farm Income Meetings.

Keys to Successful Grain Marketing (December 2002)
Presentation at the 2003 Illinois Farm Income Meetings.

Benchmarking Your Marketing Performance and New Generation Contracts (December 2001)
Presentation at the 2002 Illinois Farm Income Meetings.