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Scott Irwin

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Category Archives: crop yields

Using Preliminary FSA Data to Project Final Planted Acreage for Corn and Soybeans

Each year the USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) provides estimates of planted acreage of corn and soybeans in the U.S. These estimates provide important fundamental information about potential crop … Read More Test

Posted byHongxia JiaoAugust 27, 2020Posted incrop yields, grain outlook, long-term outlook, Scott Irwin, Todd Hubbs

The Accuracy of Early Season Crop Weather Model Forecasts of the U.S. Average Soybean Yield

Soybean yield forecasts contained in May, June, and July WASDE reports from the USDA provide important information to market participants. The forecasts are based on a crop weather model developed … Read More Test

Posted byHongxia JiaoJuly 23, 2020Posted incrop yields, grain outlook, Scott Irwin, Todd Hubbs, USDA reports

The Accuracy of Early Season Crop Weather Model Forecasts of the U.S. Average Corn Yield

Corn yield forecasts contained in May, June, and July WASDE reports from the USDA provide important information to market participants. The forecasts are based on crop weather models developed and … Read More Test

Posted byHongxia JiaoJuly 17, 2020Posted incrop yields, grain outlook, Scott Irwin, Todd Hubbs, USDA reports

Understanding the WAOB Crop Weather Model for Soybeans

One of the key early assessments of the U.S. average soybean yield is the projection made by the USDA’s World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB). Since 1993, those projections have been … Read More Test

Posted byHongxia JiaoJuly 9, 2020Posted incrop yields, grain outlook, Scott Irwin, Todd Hubbs, USDA reports

Understanding the WAOB Crop Weather Model for Corn

One of the key early assessments of the U.S. average corn yield is the projection made by the USDA’s World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB). Since 1993, those projections have been … Read More Test

Posted byHongxia JiaoJuly 3, 2020Posted incrop yields, grain outlook, Scott Irwin, Todd Hubbs, USDA reports

Unconditional vs. Conditional Trend Estimates for U.S. Corn and Soybeans

Trend yield projections are foundations of early season forecasts of U.S. corn and soybean production. In two recent farmdoc daily articles we investigated the sensitivity of 2020 trend yield estimates … Read More Test

Posted byHongxia JiaoJune 25, 2020Posted incrop yields, grain outlook, Scott Irwin, Todd Hubbs, USDA reports

How Sensitive Are Trend Yield Projections for U.S. Soybeans to the Starting Year of the Estimation Period?

The first step in any effort to project soybean yields is estimating the trend, which is the “launch point” when forecasting. As the summer growing season progresses favorable conditions push … Read More Test

Posted byHongxia JiaoJune 18, 2020Posted incrop yields, grain outlook, Scott Irwin, Todd Hubbs, USDA reports

How Sensitive Are Trend Yield Projections for U.S. Corn to the Starting Year of the Estimation Period?

The start of summer means the market begins focusing on U.S. corn yield prospects.  The first step in any effort to project corn yields is estimating trend yield.  Trend estimation … Read More Test

Posted byHongxia JiaoJune 11, 2020Posted incrop yields, grain outlook, Scott Irwin, Todd Hubbs, USDA reports
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